Prediction markets get more professional, and harder to beat

Sep 14, 2026 - 00:37
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Prediction markets get more professional, and harder to beat

As Wall Street money moves into prediction markets, liquidity may deepen and pricing may improve — but the edge for many traders is getting smaller. An academic paper on $13.76 billion of Polymarket trades found just 3% of accounts captured 27% of dollar profits.

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